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Work & SkillsResearch paperSource analysis

AI drafts sped selected patient-message replies—why didn't after-hours work fall?

A study of 983,154 message responses found faster turnaround when clinicians used an AI draft, but deployment did not reduce after-hours replying overall. Use was selective and observational, so the result does not prove the tool caused the difference.

By The Impact of AI Editorial DeskReleased 31 October 2026 at 21:55 GMT4 min full report · 1 min summary1 source · view evidence
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The short version

What happened
The peer-reviewed cohort covered 983,154 first responses from 1,542 clinicians to messages from 272,091 patients at one US academic medical centre between March 2023 and May 2025.
Who it affects
Clinicians may find some replies easier to start, but the study offers no evidence that the tool reduced their total inbox workload. Patients may receive selected first responses sooner; the paper did not measure whether those replies were more accurate, understandable or sufficient to resolve the issue.
What remains unproven
This was a single-centre retrospective cohort, not a randomised trial. Message-level tool use was selective and residual time-varying confounding may remain.

Keep in mind

This was a single-centre retrospective cohort, not a randomised trial. Message-level tool use was selective and residual time-varying confounding may remain.

The study measured first-response turnaround and after-hours sending, not editing time, cognitive burden, reply quality, clinical safety, downstream messages or patient outcomes.

The message classifier was 86.2% accurate, and the tool's exact underlying model configuration could not be confirmed.

After-hours subgroup results were sensitive to how working hours were defined and need replication.

Source analysis · 1 linked source. Primary analysed source date: 30 October 2026.

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Read the full report · 4 min The evidence, methods, implications and limitations

Using a draft and merely having the tool were different exposures

Columbia University researchers separated enterprise deployment from actual message-level use. They analysed every first clinician response to a patient-portal message at Columbia University Irving Medical Center from March 2023 to May 2025. The Epic In Basket tool, which used an OpenAI large language model in the institution's protected environment, was deployed in December 2024. The authors used clinician fixed-effects models to compare timing while accounting for stable differences between clinicians.

Across 797,799 pre-adoption and 185,355 post-adoption responses, adoption was associated with an 8.6% increase in turnaround time. Within the post-adoption period, clinicians used an AI draft for 9,757 messages—about one in 19—and those messages had 29.5% shorter turnaround than messages without the tool. The median was four hours with a draft and six hours without one. This does not mean every message would become faster if the tool were forced on: clinicians may have selected drafts for messages that were easier, more urgent or otherwise different in ways the model could not observe.[1]

Faster selected replies did not remove the wider burden

Neither adoption nor use was associated with an overall reduction in after-hours replies. Laboratory-result messages received during working hours showed 3.67 percentage points fewer after-hours responses when a draft was used, while messages received after hours showed 4.52 points more. Those subgroup findings changed under a broader definition of working hours, so they should not be treated as settled effects. The analysis also counted only the first reply, not editing time, message quality, later exchanges or whether patients needed another contact.

For clinicians, the practical lesson is narrower than 'AI saves time'. A draft may lower the barrier to answering some messages, yet a tool that is rarely used may not change total workload. For patients, quicker first replies may matter, but speed is not the same as accuracy, clarity or resolution. A stronger test would randomise eligible messages, measure editing and total conversation time, audit clinical quality and safety, and repeat the study across health systems. One author disclosed CDC, NIH and PCORI grants during the study; the authors could not verify the exact underlying model configuration.[1]

The distinction that matters

Three comparisons that should not be collapsed into one claim

The study separated access to the tool, actual use on a message and work outside normal hours.

Tool adopted

Compare all messages before and after deployment

Turnaround was 8.6% longer after adoption

Draft used

Compare post-adoption messages with and without a draft

Selected messages using a draft had 29.5% shorter turnaround

After-hours work

Test whether replies moved into normal hours

No overall reduction was detected

JAMA Network Open cohort, published 30 October 2026. Associations are observational and do not establish causation. Source: JAMA Network Open
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UNESCO · 11 min 27 sec · Background explainer

UNESCO Talks: Interview with 2024 Nobel laureate Professor Daron Acemoglu

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Economist Daron Acemoglu discusses how choices about AI affect workers, inequality and society. Pair the interview with our comparison of task exposure, hiring and skills evidence.

Evidence check: An expert interview from 2024, offering a perspective on policy and work rather than a measured forecast of job losses.

Published 2024-10-14. Source checked 14 October 2026. Check captions on the publisher’s video page.

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Photo: Dylan Gillis / Unsplash · Licence

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Explore the full source and evidence record

What this means for people

  • Clinicians may find some replies easier to start, but the study offers no evidence that the tool reduced their total inbox workload. Patients may receive selected first responses sooner; the paper did not measure whether those replies were more accurate, understandable or sufficient to resolve the issue.

Global context

Patient portals have shifted a substantial volume of administrative work to clinicians. Health systems are adding draft tools before evidence is mature enough to assume that faster replies translate into less work. This study's value is the contrast between a promising message-level association and the absence of an organisation-wide burden reduction.

What the evidence does not yet show

  • This was a single-centre retrospective cohort, not a randomised trial. Message-level tool use was selective and residual time-varying confounding may remain.
  • The study measured first-response turnaround and after-hours sending, not editing time, cognitive burden, reply quality, clinical safety, downstream messages or patient outcomes.
  • The message classifier was 86.2% accurate, and the tool's exact underlying model configuration could not be confirmed.
  • After-hours subgroup results were sensitive to how working hours were defined and need replication.

What to watch next

  • Randomised message-level evaluations
  • Editing and total conversation time
  • Reply accuracy and escalation safety
  • Use across specialties and health systems
  • Patient understanding and resolution
  • Whether higher-quality drafts increase safe uptake

Living evidence record

Impact record IAI-1M3F60M

Explore the full tracker

Evidence stage

Studied

Confidence

Supported

Reporting basis

Source analysis

Independent or research support

Present

Record status

Monitoring

Last checked

31 October 2026

Source trail

1 direct source across 1 source type.

People impact

Documented in this record.

Uncertainty

Limits and next checks are explicit.

Stages describe the evidence available—not whether a technology is good or bad. See the public method.

Single-source reporting disclosure

This record analyses one direct source. It can establish what JAMA Network Open published or reported, but it is not independent corroboration of every performance claim or predicted outcome. The confidence label will change only when broader evidence is added.

Evidence trail

Sources used for this report

Links checked 31 October 2026

Research question, topics and regions

Topics: Clinical work · Patient messaging · Generative AI · Workload · Electronic health records · Human review

Regions: North America · United States

This report is labelled source analysis. We summarise and analyse source material in our own words; company statements remain attributed claims until independently supported. Translated summaries preserve the meaning of the original source and link back to it. Read our editorial standards.

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