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EducationResearch paperSource analysis

Did generative AI replace university library borrowing?

Not measurably at one Chinese university. A nine-year, 3.2-million-transaction record found no significant change in print borrowing after January 2023, while a 368-student survey showed only a weak substitution signal.

By The Impact of AI Editorial DeskReleased 26 October 2026 at 23:02 GMT4 min full report · 1 min summary1 source · view evidence
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The short version

What happened
The study combined 368 questionnaires with 3.2 million print-library transactions from January 2017 to December 2025 and digital-platform statistics through the first half of 2026.
Who it affects
Students may need different tools for deep reading, verified retrieval and rapid synthesis; a single 'AI versus library' policy would miss those task differences.
What remains unproven
One university in China

Keep in mind

One university in China

Cross-sectional survey of 368 students

Survey responses could not be linked to individual borrowing records

Several constructs used single questionnaire items

The interrupted series cannot isolate every post-2023 institutional change

No learning, comprehension or academic-integrity outcome

Source analysis · 1 linked source. Primary analysed source date: 26 October 2026.

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Read the full report · 4 min The evidence, methods, implications and limitations

The long record did not show an AI break

Generative AI had not measurably accelerated the decline in print borrowing at the China University of Mining and Technology by the end of 2025. Researchers analysed 107 months of circulation data—about 3.2 million borrowing, return and renewal records—from January 2017 to December 2025. February 2020 was unavailable, and the model separately represented the pandemic shock, seasonality and January 2023 as the prespecified GenAI breakpoint.

Print loans were already falling by about 536 books a month before the pandemic. The estimated January 2023 level change was 1,167 additional books and the later slope change was 160 fewer books a month, but neither result was statistically significant. Alternative breakpoints in March 2023, September 2023 and January 2025 gave the same null pattern. A null result does not prove no student changed behaviour; it means the aggregate record did not detect a new institution-wide break.[1]

Survey answers and platform use pointed to coexistence

A separate 2026 questionnaire of 368 enrolled students distinguished auxiliary use—searching, summarising and comparing—from substitutive use, such as generating complete assignment passages. Substitutive use had a weak negative association with intention to keep using print resources (standardised coefficient −0.100; effect size f² 0.104). Auxiliary use was positively associated with continued digital-resource use, although those two survey constructs were not statistically distinct enough to support a clean mechanism.

Digital-platform totals also resisted a simple replacement story. Traditional operations rose from 280 million in 2021 to 317 million in 2025. Embedded AI features recorded 326,000 operations in 2025 and 766,000 in the first half of 2026, but represented only 0.10% and 0.53% of platform activity. That is early uptake layered onto existing services, not evidence that AI displaced them.[1]

The distinction that matters

Three evidence streams, three different questions

The study triangulates behaviour and perception without claiming they are the same dataset.

Print logs

3.2m transactions over 107 months

No significant post-January 2023 break

Student survey

368 cross-sectional responses

Weak print-substitution association

Digital platform

Operations from 2021 to mid-2026

AI grew from a very small base alongside traditional use

Aggregate logs can test an institution-wide trend, but not the causal pathway for individual students. Source: Frontiers in Psychology

Libraries should test tasks, not assume extinction

For librarians and teachers, the result supports designing around different tasks: print for sustained reading, licensed databases for sourced retrieval and AI for navigation or synthesis with verification. It does not justify cutting collections, nor does it establish that AI improves learning. The study measured intentions, transactions and platform operations—not comprehension, grades, source quality or academic integrity.

The survey and logs could not be linked person by person, several survey concepts used single questions, and all data came from one research-intensive Chinese university. Funding was reported from the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences' Agricultural Information Institute. Replication across institutions, linked privacy-preserving usage records and measured learning outcomes would show whether coexistence persists as embedded AI becomes a larger share of academic-resource use.[1]

A teacher speaking with university students, one with a raised hand.

Illustrative photo · not a video frame

UNESCO · 8 min 30 sec · Background explainer

Teacher to Teacher: Is AI reshaping education for the better?

YouTube loads only when you choose; playback starts when you press play.

A conversation about how teachers can guide AI use while preserving pupils’ judgement. Watch for the difference between helping a learner think and supplying an answer.

Evidence check: Teachers’ perspectives provide context. They do not establish that a particular AI tool improves learning outcomes.

Published 2025-01-23. Source checked 14 October 2026. Check captions on the publisher’s video page.

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Photo: Vitaly Gariev / Unsplash · Licence

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Continue the story

Read next

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Explore the full source and evidence record

What this means for people

  • Students may need different tools for deep reading, verified retrieval and rapid synthesis; a single 'AI versus library' policy would miss those task differences.

Global context

Collection access, platform licensing, student habits and AI availability differ across universities and countries. The design is informative, but its numerical results should not be transported without local records.

What the evidence does not yet show

  • One university in China
  • Cross-sectional survey of 368 students
  • Survey responses could not be linked to individual borrowing records
  • Several constructs used single questionnaire items
  • The interrupted series cannot isolate every post-2023 institutional change
  • No learning, comprehension or academic-integrity outcome

What to watch next

  • Multi-university replications with the same interruption model
  • Privacy-preserving linkage of student choices to actual resource use
  • Learning and source-quality outcomes by task
  • Whether embedded AI use remains complementary as its share grows

Living evidence record

Impact record IAI-1WIWJDO

Explore the full tracker

Evidence stage

Studied

Confidence

Supported

Reporting basis

Source analysis

Independent or research support

Present

Record status

Monitoring

Last checked

26 October 2026

Source trail

1 direct source across 1 source type.

People impact

Documented in this record.

Uncertainty

Limits and next checks are explicit.

Stages describe the evidence available—not whether a technology is good or bad. See the public method.

Single-source reporting disclosure

This record analyses one direct source. It can establish what Frontiers in Psychology published or reported, but it is not independent corroboration of every performance claim or predicted outcome. The confidence label will change only when broader evidence is added.

Evidence trail

Sources used for this report

Links checked 26 October 2026

Research question, topics and regions

Whether generative AI substitutes for or complements university students' use of print and digital academic resources

Topics: Universities · Libraries · Student research · Generative AI

Regions: China · Asia

This report is labelled source analysis. We summarise and analyse source material in our own words; company statements remain attributed claims until independently supported. Translated summaries preserve the meaning of the original source and link back to it. Read our editorial standards.

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